1–10, where 5 is a normal Magic Kingdom day. Forecast updated nightly. Crowd calendar
Day by day
3Today · Light · liveMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Premier Pass priced low · likely 1–2
4Monday, September 28 · ModerateLightning Lane priced low · Quieter than usual lately · Premier Pass priced low · likely 2–6
1Tuesday, September 29 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Premier Pass priced low
3Wednesday, September 30 · LightPremier Pass priced low · Quieter than usual lately · Lightning Lane priced low · likely 2–5
1Thursday, October 1 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Premier Pass priced low
1Friday, October 2 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Premier Pass priced low · Shorter park hours · likely 1–2
7Saturday, October 3 · BusyLonger park hours · Quieter than usual lately · likely 5–9
4Sunday, October 4 · ModerateMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · likely 2–6
8Monday, October 5 · PackedLightning Lane priced high · Longer park hours · Premier Pass priced high · likely 6–10
2Tuesday, October 6 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Park closes early for an event · likely 1–3
9Wednesday, October 7 · PackedLonger park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · Premier Pass priced high · likely 7–10
3Thursday, October 8 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · likely 2–5
3Friday, October 9 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · likely 2–6
9Saturday, October 10 · PackedColumbus / Indigenous Peoples' Day weekend · Longer park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · likely 7–10
9Sunday, October 11 · PackedColumbus / Indigenous Peoples' Day weekend · Longer park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · likely 7–10
8Monday, October 12 · PackedColumbus / Indigenous Peoples' Day · Lightning Lane priced high · Premier Pass priced high · likely 6–10
4Tuesday, October 13 · ModerateMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · likely 2–6
9Wednesday, October 14 · PackedLonger park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · Premier Pass priced high · likely 7–10
3Thursday, October 15 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Park closes early for an event · likely 2–5
4Friday, October 16 · ModerateMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · likely 2–6
9Saturday, October 17 · PackedLonger park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · Premier Pass priced high · likely 8–10
4Sunday, October 18 · ModerateMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · likely 2–6
7Monday, October 19 · BusyLightning Lane priced high · likely 5–9
7Tuesday, October 20 · BusyLightning Lane priced high · likely 5–9
7Wednesday, October 21 · BusyLightning Lane priced high · likely 5–9
2Thursday, October 22 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Park closes early for an event · likely 1–3
3Friday, October 23 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Lightning Lane priced high · likely 2–5
8Saturday, October 24 · PackedLightning Lane priced high · likely 5–9
3Sunday, October 25 · LightMickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party tonight; closes early · Shorter park hours · Park closes early for an event · likely 2–5
7Monday, October 26 · BusyLightning Lane priced high · likely 5–9
Magic Kingdom crowd questions
When is Magic Kingdom least crowded in the next two months?+
Parky's calendar has Tuesday, September 29, Thursday, October 1, Friday, October 2 as the lightest days coming up at Magic Kingdom.
When is Magic Kingdom busiest in the next two months?+
The busiest days coming up are Wednesday, October 7, Saturday, October 10, Sunday, October 11.
What do the crowd levels mean?+
Each park is scored against its own normal day. A 5 is a typical day for that park; a 10 is among its busiest, a 1 among its quietest. The score tracks how long the park's headline rides' lines run between 10 AM and 6 PM, so it measures what you'll actually feel in line.
How does Parky predict crowds?+
For roughly the next month, Parky reads what the parks themselves publish: operating hours, event nights that close a park early, and date-priced Lightning Lane, which Disney sets by expected demand. Past that, it uses the calendar: weekends, holiday weekends, and school breaks for the districts and regions that fill each resort, from Florida and Southern California to New York, Texas, Canada, and the UK.
How accurate is it?+
Parky measures every park day after it happens and grades its forecasts against it every night; each park's page shows its own track record, and parks where the calendar isn't reliable yet say so. Today's number is different: once the gates open it updates from the headline rides' actual waits, and by early afternoon it lands within one level of the final answer about 70% of the time, 85% by 3 PM. Days more than a month out are an early outlook, shown hatched.